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In what year did George Gallup found what became the Gallup Organization?

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Surveys by the numbers

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about ±3%

For a poll of 1,000 people showing about 50% on a question, what is the typical margin of error?

A random sample of 1,000 people gives a margin of error around ±3% for a result near 50% — cutting that to ±1% would need about 10,000 respondents.

Source: Wikipedia (Opinion poll) (2022) en.wikipedia.org

about 10%

About what share of people contacted for a survey actually respond, in recent years?

Survey response rates have fallen dramatically, down to roughly 10% in recent years, from much higher rates decades ago.

Source: Wikipedia (Opinion poll) (2022) en.wikipedia.org

1932

The Likert scale — the common 'strongly disagree to strongly agree' survey format — was invented in what year?

Psychologist Rensis Likert introduced his now-ubiquitous rating scale in a 1932 paper, and it remains the most widely used survey response format.

Source: Wikipedia (Likert scale) (2022) en.wikipedia.org

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Each question asks you to guess a real number about surveys, polls and public-opinion research. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

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Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

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